rudd on the road
No one could seriously consider Kevin Rudd’s 17 day trip to America, Europe and Japan as a junket, and no one has criticised it as one; there has been no nicking off on a tour of archaeological ruins in the style of Gough Whitlam, still less lazy days spent at the cricket in the footsteps of the sainted Sir Robert Menzies.
It has been full-on face to face diplomacy, and if the talks with George Bush showed alarming signs of degenerating into the mutual masturbation that so dismayed us during the Howard era, at least old Dubya won’t be around to embarrass us (and the rest of the world) for much longer.
Apart from that, Rudd renewed old contacts and made many new ones in Washington and confirmed the new government’s intention to re-engage with the United Nations, a welcome and long overdue commitment. The rest of the tour, to London, Paris and the NATO meeting in Bucharest before the climax in Beijing, will be equally relevant.
The only real criticism has been not that the trip is too long, but that it is too short: it should also have included a visit to Tokyo. But Rudd decided that two and half weeks was enough time away from home. And that really is the political problem: the timing has been less than ideal, and it is largely Rudd’s own fault.
He has spent the first four months of government warning that we face a crisis -- indeed a series of crises: inflation, housing, hospitals, climate change, water, gambling, teenage binge drinking and anything else his energetic staff can dream up. If the situation in Australia is really as dire as he claims, surely he should be sitting in Canberra dealing with it, especially in the crucial weeks before his government’s first budget.
His absence shows a touching trust in his inexperienced team, but it also suggests that his priorities remain, as some have feared, in the big picture of foreign policy rather than the domestic nitty gritty. He tried to reassure us before he went: his trip, he insisted, was of vital importance to working Australian families. However, those having their homes repossessed may struggle to see the connection.
Once home, our Prime Minister would be wise to plant both feet firmly on the ground and keep them there.
At least Rudd was able to leave on a note of triumph: the COAG meeting with the state premiers was a huge political success, with in principle agreement on the Murray-Darling, hospitals and business regulation – an impressive start to the great election aim of ending the blame game.
Opposition environment spokesman Greg Hunt complained that the Murray- Darling impasse should have been resolved sooner, which, considering John Howard had failed to make any progress at all for nearly a year, showed admirable hide. But he might have done better to have a critical look at the solution.
Essentially it involved a $1 billion dollar bribe to Victorian irrigators, which, assuming it was simply an a advance payment out of the S10 billion package announced by Howard is no great problem: about $3 billion was destined for irrigators anyway. But why? Well, to improve their efficiency and financial viability. But surely this is something they should have been doing for themselves. And of course the provident ones already are; the handouts are going to allow the duds to catch up, not the most sensible allocation of resources.
One way the money will be used is in reducing waste by sealing the irrigation canals; at present there is considerable leakage. But this is not all bad: the leakage goes back into the water table or into the river. With the leaks sealed the water will remain in the canal, and the irrigator will take half of it. The other half, to be returned to the river, may in fact represent a net loss. Yet the policy is meant to be all about looking after the river system.
At least the agreed model of administration at the top is a sound one: an independent commission to determine state quotas, the states to have right of appeal but the federal minister to have the final say. But that leaves the states plenty of room for fiddling further down the line, and the $10 billion Howard allocated to his Great Big Splash will give them plenty to fiddle with. It may be that the COAG agreement will need a bit of fine tuning, perhaps in the form of a total takeover by Canberra somewhere down the line. Now that really would end the blame game.
A second level Rudd crisis, binge drinking, is apparently to be attacked through a scare campaign; agencies are to be instructed to prepare a series of horrific advertisements designed to frighten the livers out of impressionable teenagers and thus wean them off the hard stuff and on to a blameless diet of lemonade and Horlicks.
Rudd harks back approvingly to the Grim Reaper AIDS campaign and the anti-smoking ads showing nauseating pictures of diseased lungs. These, he notes were truly memorable. And so they were, but there is no evidence they were effective. The control of AIDS was largely due to educating the tightly-knit gay community and needle exchanges: the decline in smoking came about after the habit became hugely expensive and inconvenient. The scare was incidental.
Drinking is unlikely to be different. Many years ago the French government, alarmed by a huge incidence of genuine alcoholism in the community, ran a national campaign that blitzed the country with posters warning: “Alcohol is a slow killer.” The French drinkers, with their customary sang froid (or perhaps savoir faire), replied: “So who’s in hurry?” and retired to the nearest bar. Will Australians be far behind?
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Guy Rundle in Crikey
Well there are two things we can thank John Howard for (three if you count destroying the Liberal party's membership base) - the E-3 visa which gives Australians special treatment in getting a US work permit, and the fact that Americans have a vague awareness of our leaders, thanks to the fact that ours was hitherto permanently attached to the back of theirs.
The attention remains, but for an entirely different reason. Kevvie's tour through these parts and his joint press conference with Dubya got heavy rotation on the 24 hour networks, not only because it was a break from rehashing Bama's pastor problems, but also because it was a delicious moment to watch Bush squirm, a past-time which about 70% of Americans would now seem to enjoy.
In the good old days, Dubya could lean on Howard, not merely figuratively, vaguely patronise him and make the alliance look like it was more than the US and a bunch of bribed East European nations. Blair would always upstage Dubya and takeover when he was patently lost and though the Rodent was more articulate than Bush – the podium is more articulate than Bush – he was also more boring, so it wasn't a complete humiliation.
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